Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.316662 0.421486 0.536777 0.670930 0.820894 0.981779 1.165925
2025-06-22 0.160943 0.290334 0.452204 0.658637 0.906157 1.186432 1.521579
2025-06-29 0.086084 0.214035 0.394301 0.640961 0.951084 1.314150 1.759366
2025-07-06 0.053952 0.183689 0.386065 0.677680 1.056194 1.508761 2.072261
2025-07-13 0.034747 0.164729 0.387415 0.722014 1.166914 1.707052 2.386866
2025-07-20 0.020737 0.147317 0.386569 0.760311 1.267882 1.892164 2.684939
2025-07-27 0.014766 0.144756 0.407518 0.827963 1.406151 2.122639 3.037147
2025-08-03 0.008188 0.134149 0.412691 0.871632 1.512120 2.312706 3.340493
2025-08-10 0.002097 0.112387 0.394245 0.878266 1.567287 2.438389 3.565134
2025-08-17 NaN 0.076779 0.341165 0.827587 1.541666 2.459956 3.660882
2025-08-24 NaN 0.046956 0.287987 0.770086 1.502195 2.460695 3.728441
2025-08-31 NaN 0.031525 0.260315 0.749957 1.512322 2.523191 3.870702
2025-09-07 NaN 0.024598 0.253975 0.767715 1.580251 2.666042 4.120261
2025-09-14 NaN 0.015095 0.233388 0.758763 1.609182 2.758363 4.307811
2025-09-21 NaN 0.007208 0.208572 0.738566 1.619323 2.824200 4.460527
2025-09-28 NaN 0.006226 0.215550 0.778411 1.719337 3.010006 4.765609
2025-10-05 NaN 0.005935 0.226462 0.825956 1.831093 3.211700 5.091107
2025-10-12 NaN 0.005221 0.234103 0.867051 1.933146 3.400512 5.400419
2025-10-19 NaN 0.006723 0.257480 0.939437 2.082963 3.653731 5.792065
2025-10-26 NaN 0.006367 0.267822 0.986071 2.193712 3.854581 6.117175
2025-11-02 NaN 0.003673 0.258482 0.993148 2.244019 3.974062 6.338567
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000270 0.220588 0.939037 2.198679 3.963274 6.392632
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.182155 0.877517 2.138501 3.930124 6.416256